2026 Game Analysis

Match predictions, by round or by club

Round 24 · 9 matches · 414 players

Game 1 · Round 24

Adelaide157def.Greater Western Sydney101+56

Predicted votesmodel expectation · 3-2-1

Izak Rankine

2.77 exp · 75% for 3 · 35 disp

Jordan Dawson

1.60 exp · 14% for 3 · 32 disp

Taylor Walker

1.14 exp · 6% for 3 · 13 disp

Player	Exp Votes	P(3)	Disp	Cont.	Clr	Goals	Coaches
3Izak RankineADEL	2.77	75%	35	17	12	4	10
2Jordan DawsonADEL	1.60	14%	32	10	5	0	8
1Taylor WalkerADEL	1.14	6%	13	7	0	6	6
Riley ThilthorpeADEL	0.59	3%	21	8	4	3	1
Ben KeaysADEL	0.38	1%	25	8	1	3	1
Jake StringerGWS	0.20	0%	12	5	2	6	4
Daniel CurtinADEL	0.10	0%	22	13	5	1	0
Sam BerryADEL	0.08	0%	20	10	5	0	0
Darcy FogartyADEL	0.06	0%	16	6	0	3	0
Lachlan McAndrewADEL	0.03	0%	12	6	3	1	0

heat = expected votes · gold = coaches votes · shaded rows = predicted 3-2-1

Game 2 · Round 24

Western Bulldogs108def.Melbourne87+21

Predicted votesmodel expectation · 3-2-1

Ed Richards

1.92 exp · 50% for 3 · 30 disp

Max Gawn

1.17 exp · 22% for 3 · 28 disp

Harry Petty

1.06 exp · 10% for 3 · 17 disp

Player	Exp Votes	P(3)	Disp	Cont.	Clr	Goals	Coaches
3Ed RichardsWBD	1.92	50%	30	14	8	1	8
2Max GawnMELB	1.17	22%	28	15	10	0	8
1Harry PettyMELB	1.06	10%	17	12	0	3	8
Marcus BontempelliWBD	0.70	5%	27	9	2	2	3
Matthew KennedyWBD	0.55	6%	26	12	4	2	2
Joel FreijahWBD	0.25	3%	24	11	5	1	0
Bailey DaleWBD	0.15	1%	28	3	0	0	0
Aaron NaughtonWBD	0.08	0%	15	10	0	2	1
Kysaiah PickettMELB	0.08	0%	26	13	7	1	0
Arthur JonesWBD	0.03	0%	13	4	0	3	0

heat = expected votes · gold = coaches votes · shaded rows = predicted 3-2-1

Game 3 · Round 24

Carlton119def.Fremantle82+37

Predicted votesmodel expectation · 3-2-1

Sam Walsh

2.49 exp · 70% for 3 · 32 disp

Jagga Smith

1.36 exp · 15% for 3 · 31 disp

Francis Evans

1.26 exp · 4% for 3 · 11 disp

Player	Exp Votes	P(3)	Disp	Cont.	Clr	Goals	Coaches
3Sam WalshCARL	2.49	70%	32	13	8	1	9
2Jagga SmithCARL	1.36	15%	31	9	5	1	7
1Francis EvansCARL	1.26	4%	11	5	0	5	7
Ben AinsworthCARL	0.55	2%	20	5	0	3	4
George HewettCARL	0.36	3%	29	13	6	0	0
Patrick CrippsCARL	0.32	4%	24	10	8	1	0
Oliver FlorentCARL	0.27	2%	29	6	1	0	3
Marc PittonetCARL	0.04	0%	17	8	7	0	0
Brodie KempCARL	0.04	0%	13	3	0	3	0
Luke JacksonFREO	0.02	0%	14	9	4	1	0

heat = expected votes · gold = coaches votes · shaded rows = predicted 3-2-1

Game 4 · Round 24

Sydney123def.North Melbourne70+53

Predicted votesmodel expectation · 3-2-1

Errol Gulden

2.45 exp · 63% for 3 · 41 disp

Brodie Grundy

0.99 exp · 26% for 3 · 26 disp

Braeden Campbell

0.26 exp · 2% for 3 · 20 disp

Player	Exp Votes	P(3)	Disp	Cont.	Clr	Goals	Coaches
3Errol GuldenSYD	2.45	63%	41	10	6	0	9
2Brodie GrundySYD	0.99	26%	26	15	7	0	9
1Braeden CampbellSYD	0.26	2%	20	6	0	2	4
Callum MillsSYD	0.18	2%	26	8	1	0	5
Jai SerongSYD	0.11	2%	24	10	6	0	0
Charlie CurnowSYD	0.08	1%	15	6	0	3	0
Jesse DattoliSYD	0.07	1%	21	12	4	1	1
Billy CooteeSYD	0.06	0%	16	7	0	3	0
Logan McDonaldSYD	0.06	0%	11	9	0	3	0
James RowbottomSYD	0.05	1%	19	6	4	0	0

heat = expected votes · gold = coaches votes · shaded rows = predicted 3-2-1

Game 5 · Round 24

Port Adelaide105def.Essendon95+10

Predicted votesmodel expectation · 3-2-1

Jase Burgoyne

2.41 exp · 64% for 3 · 30 disp

Nate Caddy

1.28 exp · 9% for 3 · 17 disp

Mitch Georgiades

1.27 exp · 16% for 3 · 15 disp

Player	Exp Votes	P(3)	Disp	Cont.	Clr	Goals	Coaches
3Jase BurgoynePORT	2.41	64%	30	15	7	2	9
2Nate CaddyESSE	1.28	9%	17	12	0	6	8
1Mitch GeorgiadesPORT	1.27	16%	15	3	0	5	7
Will SetterfieldESSE	0.88	4%	32	15	7	0	2
Zach MerrettESSE	0.59	3%	32	6	3	1	1
Ollie WinesPORT	0.23	1%	27	10	3	1	2
Jordon SweetPORT	0.05	0%	15	10	7	1	1
Will BrodiePORT	0.05	0%	22	11	7	0	0
Andrew McGrathESSE	0.04	0%	25	6	4	0	0
Darcy Byrne-JonesPORT	0.04	0%	26	8	1	0	0

heat = expected votes · gold = coaches votes · shaded rows = predicted 3-2-1

Game 6 · Round 24

Brisbane Lions159def.Collingwood96+63

Predicted votesmodel expectation · 3-2-1

Logan Morris

2.95 exp · 88% for 3 · 15 disp

Lachie Neale

1.70 exp · 9% for 3 · 35 disp

Josh Dunkley

0.58 exp · 2% for 3 · 27 disp

Player	Exp Votes	P(3)	Disp	Cont.	Clr	Goals	Coaches
3Logan MorrisBRIS	2.95	88%	15	3	1	8	10
2Lachie NealeBRIS	1.70	9%	35	22	16	0	8
1Josh DunkleyBRIS	0.58	2%	27	11	5	0	4
Conor McKennaBRIS	0.19	1%	11	3	0	4	4
Will AshcroftBRIS	0.17	0%	25	8	3	1	0
Jordan de GoeyCOLL	0.11	0%	32	10	6	2	3
Sam DraperBRIS	0.06	0%	14	8	6	1	1
Zac BaileyBRIS	0.06	0%	24	6	4	1	0
Oscar AllenBRIS	0.04	0%	8	2	0	4	0
Eric HipwoodBRIS	0.04	0%	15	8	0	3	0

heat = expected votes · gold = coaches votes · shaded rows = predicted 3-2-1

Game 7 · Round 24

Gold Coast103def.St Kilda80+23

Predicted votesmodel expectation · 3-2-1

Noah Anderson

1.89 exp · 35% for 3 · 37 disp

Matt Rowell

1.70 exp · 33% for 3 · 28 disp

Touk Miller

1.25 exp · 16% for 3 · 40 disp

Player	Exp Votes	P(3)	Disp	Cont.	Clr	Goals	Coaches
3Noah AndersonGCFC	1.89	35%	37	8	6	1	8
2Matt RowellGCFC	1.70	33%	28	20	11	0	9
1Touk MillerGCFC	1.25	16%	40	12	5	1	4
John NobleGCFC	1.03	11%	42	5	1	0	3
Max HallSTK	0.69	2%	37	16	8	1	1
Bradley HillSTK	0.41	1%	42	4	3	0	0
Leo LombardGCFC	0.16	1%	14	4	0	3	1
Hugo GarciaSTK	0.08	0%	28	11	4	1	0
Bodhi UwlandGCFC	0.05	0%	22	7	0	0	2
Hugh BoxshallSTK	0.03	0%	17	6	2	3	0

heat = expected votes · gold = coaches votes · shaded rows = predicted 3-2-1

Game 8 · Round 24

Hawthorn107def.West Coast45+62

Predicted votesmodel expectation · 3-2-1

Will Day

1.95 exp · 55% for 3 · 23 disp

Connor Macdonald

0.99 exp · 22% for 3 · 23 disp

Jack Gunston

0.90 exp · 4% for 3 · 8 disp

Player	Exp Votes	P(3)	Disp	Cont.	Clr	Goals	Coaches
3Will DayHAWK	1.95	55%	23	10	6	2	9
2Connor MacdonaldHAWK	0.99	22%	23	8	4	0	9
1Jack GunstonHAWK	0.90	4%	8	1	0	5	5
Josh WardHAWK	0.65	9%	24	13	5	0	4
Jai NewcombeHAWK	0.22	5%	19	6	4	1	0
Milan MurdockWCE	0.14	0%	24	9	0	3	2
Dylan MooreHAWK	0.11	2%	22	7	0	1	0
Blake HardwickHAWK	0.07	0%	22	7	0	0	1
Lloyd MeekHAWK	0.06	0%	16	9	4	0	0
Nick WatsonHAWK	0.05	0%	12	6	2	3	0

heat = expected votes · gold = coaches votes · shaded rows = predicted 3-2-1

Game 9 · Round 24

Geelong133def.Richmond76+57

Predicted votesmodel expectation · 3-2-1

Bailey Smith

2.83 exp · 73% for 3 · 40 disp

Shaun Mannagh

2.28 exp · 24% for 3 · 33 disp

Patrick Dangerfield

0.66 exp · 1% for 3 · 22 disp

Player	Exp Votes	P(3)	Disp	Cont.	Clr	Goals	Coaches
3Bailey SmithGEEL	2.83	73%	40	9	4	3	10
2Shaun MannaghGEEL	2.28	24%	33	11	5	3	8
1Patrick DangerfieldGEEL	0.66	1%	22	5	2	3	5
Shannon NealeGEEL	0.32	0%	9	5	0	4	0
Oliver DempseyGEEL	0.28	1%	27	9	2	1	4
Tim TarantoRICH	0.16	1%	36	24	10	1	3
Tanner BruhnGEEL	0.06	0%	29	9	2	0	0
Mitchell EdwardsGEEL	0.04	0%	19	7	3	1	0
Oisin MullinGEEL	0.02	0%	16	9	3	0	0
Gryan MiersGEEL	0.01	0%	25	3	1	0	0

heat = expected votes · gold = coaches votes · shaded rows = predicted 3-2-1